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华泰证券-公用环保行业专题研究:天然气价淡季不淡,把握顺价预期差-230416

天然气顺价机制逐步完善,城燃经营压力或将释放 21-22 年国内主要城燃公司毛差连续两年收窄、盈利能力下滑,我们认为核心矛盾在于保供用气的供需错配,即居民气量占比越高、面临的顺价难度越大。我们对 23 年城燃盈利能力修复持谨慎乐观的看法,主要基于以下判断:1)23 年 2 月以来国家发改委征求顺价意见、部分省份启动顺价新政策,有望对冲上游气源淡季涨价的影响;2)经济复苏带来工商业气量增长,居民气量

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