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行业比较专题报告:经济弱复苏下的结构性机会在哪?-20231103-国金证券

经济弱复苏下的结构性机会在哪? 深究当前A股核心变量:美债利率的趋势性方向及水平 影响当前市场的核心变量:并非基本面,而是“流动性”。其中,国内流动性短期内难以形成明显地、趋势性复苏;故当下海外流动性将尤为重要,町住10年期美债利率“向下方向”确认将决定年内A股反弹的持续性。7月以来美债利率的大幅攀升或主要来自于“期限溢价”的攀升,背后是不确定性风险上升,导致长久期债券享有更高的风险补偿,具体来看

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