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演绎、机理、观测与展望:如何将流动性研究框架落地?-20231108-兴业证券

KEY POINTS 狭义流动性状况长期与短债收益率高度相关,近年来其对于长债收益率的影响亦日渐提升。因此本文主要从历史演绎、影响机理、追踪预测、未来展望四大维度针对流动性展开分析,希望从更能落地、更偏实战的视角,为投资者提供有益参考。 第一部分:央行目标函数与治理体系的演绎 ●央行是承担流动性管理工作的核心机构。因此在讨论流动性之前,针对央行行为的探讨是极为必要的。这一部分主要从央行目标体系的完

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