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平安证券-化工新材料行业系列(一)-电子特气:半导体新周期将至,国产替代如火如荼-230523

需求驱动力:半导体产业上行周期将至,ChatGPT兴起或成新增长级。1)半导体行业新一轮上行周期待开启,国产芯片扩产将带来特气需求起量:现阶段半导体行业仍处于主动去库中,预期23H2需求渐修复、库存逐步去化,2024年需求有望加速上行。经梳理,预计到2025年国内企业新增芯片产能合计将达374.1万片/月,测算得扩产逻辑芯片共需大宗特气约69万吨、电子特气约587吨。2)ChatGPT兴起带动GP

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