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德邦证券-宠物行业深度报告系列(一):以日本“失去的三十年”为鉴,看中国宠物食品行业增长潜能-240725

知日:价升接力量增,穿越“失去的三十年”。回顾日本宠物食品发展历程,泡沫破灭后的经济下行阶段行业仍具较强韧性。从量价视角来看,我们认为在不同时期助力行业增长的因素有所差异:前期主要依托宠物数量的增长;后期则受益于行业高端化的推进。 A 前期驱动力:家庭规模小型化+人口老龄化助力宠物数量增长。拆分量价来看,泡沫破灭初期宠物食品流通量的增长为行业持续扩容的核心驱动力,其背后的原因系宠物饲养数量的增加。

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