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债券市场专题研究:评估消费趋势对债市定价的影响(政策篇)-20230116-浙商证券

评估消费趋势对债市定价的影响(政策篇) 消费政策是决定消费短周期变动的关键变量,本篇则重点讨论我国消费政策的可能性、对消费修复的作用、以及对债市的影响。 □海外视角看政策一一海外多国现金补贴,我国以消费券为主 横向对比海外国家,不同规模、不同类型的消费政策对消费回补的作用究竟有多大?消费修复展现了什么样的异与同?总结海外经验来看: (1)2020年第一次疫情冲击时,财政刺激计划使得海外多国疫后消费

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