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中信证券-资产价格跨历史周期比较系列专题之三:德国马克、日元国际化对人民币国际化的借鉴-230419

根据央行数据,人民币国际化程度居全球第五位,上升势头明显,在官方储备、跨境收付和外汇交易方面进展显著,但在国际信贷、离岸资产和跨境贸易计价方面则仍有待进一步提升。结合日元和马克的国际化经验,我们认为短期内人民币大幅升值的可能性不大,通过稳健发展和渐进改革以推进保持币值稳定则更加重要。短期内建议重点关注境内外资本市场的双向交互和人民币锚定重点资源品种能力的提升。 人民币国际化推进的现状:小步快跑,任

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