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2024年中国第四季度经济观察-kpmg

要点综述 2024年前三季度GDP累计同比达到4.8%,三季度实际GDP同比增速为4.6%,较二季度下行0.1个百分点,与市场预期持平。GDP当季季调环比增速为0.9%,低于过去五年环比均值。三季度我国内需继续走弱,生产边际收缩,工业产能利用率处于历史同期低位。与此同时,外部环境复杂多变,地缘政治冲突多发、贸易保护主义兴起,外需将面临很大的不确定性。国内有效需求的企稳对四季度和全年经济能否实现增长

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